Role of plasticity and adaptation in phenological responses

Ecological forecasting
Changing phenology
Student-led
Manuscript under review
Yi Liu was a 2022 cohort Ph.D. student at the University of Michigan.
Authors

Yi Liu

Yiluan Song

William Weaver

Kerby Shedden

Yang Chen

Stephen Smith

Kai Zhu

Published

March 31, 2025

Keywords

global change biology, environmental data science, phenological sensitivity, space-for-time substitution

Preprint

Highlights

  • Climate change is shifting the flowering phenology of wind-pollinated trees. It is key quantify the sensitivity and understand the mechanisms of these phenological responses.
  • We investigated the temperature sensitivity of flowering phenology in 74 wind-pollinated tree species across the US using long-term herbarium records spanning over a century.
  • We compared spatial and temporal sensitivities in multiple wind-pollinated species to evaluate the roles of plasticity and adaptation in phenological responses of flowering.

Comparing spatial and temporal sensitivities